When analyzing a match between Chelsea FC and Leeds United FC on February 29, 2024, considering your expertise and interest in sports analysis, several points are worth watching to predict the outcome effectively. Given the factors you mentioned, such as weather and the referee, along with other critical football match aspects, here’s a structured approach to analyze this game:

1. Current Form and Standings

Chelsea FC's Recent Performance: Look at their last 5-10 games in all competitions. Consistency, goal-scoring ability, and defensive stability are key indicators.

Leeds United FC's Recent Performance: Similar to Chelsea, analyze their recent form, focusing on the same aspects.

2. Head-to-Head Record

Past Encounters: Historical outcomes can sometimes give insights into how teams match up tactically and psychologically.

3. Weather Conditions

Impact on Gameplay: Weather can significantly affect the playing style of teams. For instance, wet conditions can lead to more mistakes and affect teams that rely on quick, intricate passing.

Adaptability: Consider which team is better equipped to adapt their playing style to weather conditions.

4. Referee Assignment

Refereeing Style: Some referees are more lenient, while others are strict. This can influence the flow of the game, especially if one team is known for a more physical approach.

Historical Data: Analyze how each team has performed under this referee in the past. Some teams might have a better win rate under certain officials.

5. Key Player Battles

Match Winners: Identify players from both teams who are in form and can change the game's outcome.

Injuries and Suspensions: The absence of key players can significantly impact a team's performance and tactics.

6. Tactical Approaches

Playing Styles: Consider how the tactical approaches of each team match up against each other. For instance, a team that excels in counter-attacking might have an advantage over a team that pushes many players forward.

Managers' Tactical Flexibility: The ability of managers to adapt during the game could be crucial, especially in a tightly contested match.

7. Motivation and Stakes

League Position: Teams fighting for survival or for a spot in European competitions might display higher intensity and determination.

Recent Controversies or Team Dynamics: Internal team issues can affect performance, so any news regarding team harmony should be considered.

By analyzing these points, you can form a more rounded prediction on the outcome of the match between Chelsea FC and Leeds United FC. Combining statistical analysis with the subjective factors like weather and refereeing can enhance the accuracy of your predictions.